October 25, 2012
Prediction: Same-Sex Bills To Be Defeated
By Mike McManus
Polls show support for same-sex
marriage in the four states voting on it in November – Maine,
Maryland, Minnesota and Washington State. Yet I predict these
bills will be defeated.
The odds appear long. Millions are being donated for gay
marriage by New York Mayor Bloomberg, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos,
Microsoft founder Bill Gates, Starbucks, Nike, etc. In state
after state, supporters of same-sex unions raised 5-6 times as
much as opponents.
it is now openly supported for the first time by a President of
the United States, Barack Obama, and by the Democratic Party.
Same-sex marriage is legal in New York, Connecticut, Iowa,
Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont and Washington D.C.
However all are the result of court cases or votes by
In the 32 states where it has appeared on the ballot, ALL HAVE
Furthermore, the polls are narrowing. In Washington a September
Elway Poll reported 51% in favor of same-sex marriage vs. 37%
opposed. The most recent Elway Poll: 49% to 45%. That’s a 10
percent shift in a month! It is now within the 4.5% margin of
What caused the shift? “The other side had airways to themselves
from the Summer Olympics in July. Now the public is hearing our
side of the campaign with ads that began in October,” said Chip
White of Washington for Marriage.
In Maine, “Internal polls show we are down, but within the 4%-5%
margin of error,” says Carroll Conley, Co-Chair of Protect
Marriage Maine. “Add in the 4% - 8% undecided, and there is a
path to victory here.”
An independent pollster conceded that “Any undecided vote is a
vote for traditional marriage.“
The Knights of Columbus is giving $100,000, and the Catholic
Bishop of Maine is having a letter read in churches on Sunday
opposing same-sex marriage as “immoral” or “evil” and contrary
to Catholic doctrine.
Southern Baptist churches and many independent churches who took
no stand on gay marriage when it was on the ballot three years
ago – are now openly supporting it.
In Maryland, a more liberal state, polls show an 8% margin for
same-sex marriage, but there are 10% undecided. “It will be a
real nail-biter for us, a very close margin. We can garner quite
a number of the undecided,” said Rev. Derek McCoy, President of
the Maryland Marriage Alliance. “A lot of churches now realize
they can’t be silent any longer, and must be involved.”
If same-sex marriage is upheld, many will pay a huge price.
Consider the case of Dr. Angela McCaskill, the first
African-American Ph.D. Gallaudet University has produced, who
was suspended from her university job – simply because campus
officials discovered that she had signed a petition to allow the
people of Maryland to vote on the same-sex marriage law passed
by Maryland Legislature.
Her offense? “Exercising her fundamental civil right to
participate in the democratic process,” said Brian Brown,
President of the National Organization for Marriage. “And so Dr.
McCaskill, who is also deaf, was targeted, bullied and
intimidated by the gay `marriage’ bullies and tolerance police
who ultimately suspended her job.”
Jim and Mary O’Reilly refused to host a wedding reception at
their Vermont inn for a Lesbian couple, because it violated
their Catholic faith. The Lesbians sued, on grounds that the
state had legalized marriage. The O’Reillys had to pay $30,000
in fines, and were prohibited from hosting future wedding
receptions if same-sex couples are denied.
By living their faith, they were fined and deprived of future
If same-sex marriage is legalized no one will suffer more than
the children raised by gays or lesbians. A recent study by Mark
Regnerus of the University of Texas of young adults, aged 18-39,
raised by a parent in a same-sex union found that they were four
times more likely to be on welfare as those raised by intact
Only 2% of those with married parents had ever been touched
sexually by a parent or an adult vs. 23% of those with a lesbian
mother. That’s 11 times higher!
Only 5% of those with married parents had ever considered
suicide, but 12% of those with a lesbian parent and 24% of those
with a homosexual father. That’s five times higher.
A child deserves to be raised by a married father and a mother.
Same-sex marriage makes that impossible.
The National Organization for Marriage has donated more money to
groups like the Maryland Marriage Alliance than anyone. It has
found a generous donor who will match $2 for every dollar
contributed by individuals.
If you believe same-sex marriages should be opposed, consider
supporting NOM by going to
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